Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that must be your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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